No, it wasn’t in the forecast but just the like real weather, the unexpected happens. A change in the “magnetic direction” of the wind of particles from the sun called the solar wind from north to south made all the difference. Earth’s magnetic field points northward. When the field associated with a batch of plasma from the sun points southward, as it did beginning early yesterday evening, there’s a good chance it will link into our field and ultimately allow those particles passage into our upper atmosphere.
Spiraling down magnetic field lines like firefighters on a firepoles, billions of tiny solar electrons strike oxygen and nitrogen molecules in the thin air 60-125 miles up. When the excited atoms return back to their normal rest states, they shoot off niblets of green and red light that wash the sky in multicolor arcs and rays.
Nothing in the space weather forecast would have led you to believe northern lights were in the offing for mid-latitude skywatchers last night. Maybe a small possibility of a glow very low on the northern horizon. Maybe. Instead we got the full-blown show with auroras of many forms jumping, glowing and dancing all night long. When I finally hit the hay at 4 a.m. flames of moderately bright aurora still rippled across the north.
So what about tonight? Just like last night, there’s only a 5% chance of a minor storm. Like I always say, take a look anyway, because nature always has a surprise or two up her sleeve.